Heavy rain and strong winds are expected to hit the Bay of Plenty this afternoon and into tonight, with potential for thunderstorms.

An orange warning for heavy rain was issued by MetService this morning.

The Bay of Plenty and Gisborne/Tairawhiti north of Tokomaru Bay can expect 80 to 100mm of rain, with peak rates of 15 to 25 mm/h expected from this evening.

Thunderstorms and localised downpours are possible.

The warning is in place from 4pm today until 9am Thursday.

MetService said streams and rivers may rise rapidly with surface flooding, slips, and difficult driving conditions possible.

“Clear your drains and gutters to prepare for heavy rain. Avoid low-lying areas and drive cautiously.”

While the South Island will enjoy a dry Wednesday, an area of low pressure will bring rain to the upper North Island, particularly in the afternoon and evening.

Areas of heavy rain will be possible for places such as the Far North, Coromandel Peninsula, and Bay of Plenty. pic.twitter.com/YLjFMxPS98

— NIWA Weather (@NiwaWeather) November 11, 2025

A strong wind watch is also in place for Rotorua, Bay of Plenty east of Maketū, Gisborne, and Taupō from midnight tonight until 10am Thursday.

Northeast winds may approach severe gale in exposed places.

MetService meteorologist Lewis Ferris said the wet weather was caused by a low-pressure system approaching the country from the north.

“It’s got quite warm, humid air, which is very good potential for heavy rain and also does bring that risk of maybe some downpours or some thunderstorms.

“So, within the band of rain, there’ll be patches of what could be quite intense rain.”

He stressed that this is mainly an issue in the north of the country on Wednesday, with much of the rain moving south on Thursday.

Rain will clear to fine weather on Thursday morning in the Bay of Plenty with clear skies Friday and Saturday, and a chance of a morning shower.